## Random Numbers

Just a quick thought on random numbers.

Perhaps we have the wrong model for a random number generator with the regular statistical probability distributions.

I am wondering if it wouldn’t be better to think of random numbers as coming from a toss of several dice where the dice are drawn from a barrel where some number of the dice in the barrel are non-standard dice. We do not know how many dots are on those dice or how many of the non-standard dice are in the barrel.

We might go for dozens of tosses without hitting one of the non-standard dice, and then one day we get two of them.

Somehow we need to figure out how to play the game well when we get the regular dice but be ready when the non-standard dice are drawn without warning.

**Explore posts in the same categories:**Random, Uncertainty

**Tags:** Enterprise Risk Management

September 9, 2009 at 10:17 am

I recently came across your blog and have been reading along. I thought I would leave my first comment. I don’t know what to say except that I have enjoyed reading. Nice blog. I will keep visiting this blog very often.

Susan

http://dclottery.info

August 30, 2009 at 12:01 pm

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